Subscribe to this blog

Subscribe to full feed RSS
What is RSS?

Subscribe Via Email

We respect your privacy.

The Real Cost of Gasoline

By Tim_Jones On May 28, 2008 Under politics

Welcome to The Real Tim Jones. If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to my RSS feed or for more frequent, informal updates, you can follow me on Twitter. Thanks for visiting!

The gas cost issue has been on the front burner over the last week and I just had to address this issue, again, as I’ve done in various places in the past. The lack of knowledge about gas prices demonstrates one of the most glaring examples of societal economic ignorance in our country. This ignorance really boils down to a poor grasp of basic economics and costs of goods. Our current educational system, including college education, significantly lacks economic and financial education, in spite of our daily dealings with these subjects and their impact on our lives.

The current clamoring to take it to “big-oil” to “fix” our gas prices sounds real good as a sound bite at a political rally, but will do little to lower the price of gas at the pump. As you can see in the the graphic and tables below, oil company profits (buried in the numbers for costs and profits from refining, distribution, and marketing) make up a very small portion of the cost of gas at the pump. Additionally, this profit margin has remained virtually constant for the past eight years, in fact it has decreased in the last two years, while prices have gone up. This means the record profits of oil companies are due to record demand!

One popular solution suggests taxing these record profits. While you may get some temporary joy from “sticking it” to the big corporations, you will only see this tax passed on to the consumer as an increase in costs of goods sold, so in actuality, you will be paying that tax at the pump. Another solution has the government doling out money to everyone to help stem the tide of costs of all goods, including gas. Isn’t this equivalent to the economic stimulus package that was just panned by the two Democrat presidential candidates that are in favor of these plans?

California Dept. of Energy - May 2008
73.5% cost of crude oil
17% Federal, state, and local taxes and fees
9.5% Total COSTS and PROFITS for refinery, distribution, and marketing

US Dept of Energy - March 2006
55% cost of crude
19% taxes
22% refining costs & profits
4% distribution/marketing costs & profits



In spite of record profits for oil companies, economically speaking, they still aren’t charging enough for gas. What??!! I can hear the audience roar. Economically, oil companies (and any for-profit organization) should charge as much as the market will bear without diminishing demand. Currently, these record profits (not profit margins) are due to record demand from the consumer and decreasing supply of the key component of gasoline, crude oil. While one may make the argument that gasoline is a necessity, the current demand far exceeds that necessity. Many different options exist to reduce your demand of gasoline, including walking, bicycles, car-pooling, and using public transportation. All of these options require sacrifices; a foreign concept for most Americans. We would rather have some big, evil corporation to blame and go on living our lives without consequence.

As to the supply, our representative government has found excuse after excuse to avoid tapping into our own possibilities of oil supply throughout this country for decades. Additionally, no new refineries have been built in over 30 years. You will note that the largest component of the cost of gasoline is the cost of crude oil; a commodity susceptible to open, free market forces trading at record numbers. OPEC has indicated and outright stated time and again that they can send us more oil, but we can’t do anything with it when we get it, due to our very limited refining capabilities. Although oil is a relatively finite resource (in spite of the fact that more is being produced everyday through earth’s natural activities that produced the same oil we are harvesting, now), there are abundant sources of oil within our own borders waiting to be tapped and refined. The current explanation for our country’s lack of action refers to the amount of time it will take to build new oil fields and pipelines and infrastructure. I say every day we use that excuse is one more day lost in developing that infrastructure. Ten years ago, President Clinton felt that 10 years was too long to wait to get oil out of ANWR. Now, ten years later, we could have had our own additional oil supply, rather than begging Saudi Arabia to bump up their production.

Additionally, this supply will run out at some point in our future and a reasonable, viable alternative will be required. Currently, the “big-oil” companies are spending more on alternative fuel research than any other single entity. No kidding! They want to continue to make profits from energy consumption; they are not picky which energy source produces that profit. Should the Democratic party get it’s way and tax these profits or nationalize the oil/gasoline industry, this research will shut down and we will be as far from a viable alternative fuel as we are from tapping our own oil resources.

I’m not a fan of paying $5/gallon for my diesel fuel, but I certainly do not blame “big-oil” for doing what for-profit corporations do best; make a profit! As is almost always the case, the solution does not reside with new laws, new regulations, additional government, and a further march to socialism. As is always the case, the solution resides with each and every one of you. Find ways to use less, consume less, ways to help with alternative fuel development, and find new ways to get around while using less energy (hint: it’s not with a hybrid or ethanol) all without demanding the government force your will on the American people and American business at the point of a gun.


[ad#banner]

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

  • I find myself telling this to people all the time, but it isn't something they want to hear. Percentage wise, the oil companies profit margins are lower than any other "big business" The problem lies solely with OPEC, not here in the US.

    On a positive note, I get a newsletter from my Congressman every Friday and within it I saw the House passed a resolution to crack down on OPEC. H.R. 6047, the Gas Price Relief for Consumers Act of 2008 repeals the federal anti-trust exemption for OPEC.

    Another good note on the subject is this story (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080515/bs_nm/utili...)
    about oil tycoon, T.Boone Pickens investing 10 billion in making the worlds largest wind farm.
  • OPEC would not be as much of a factor, if we would just produce/harvest our own supply.
  • dc
    Wait now, correct me if I'm wrong, but 10% of 2.00 is .20 right? And 10% of 4.00 is .40, yes? And .40 is bigger than .20... so if you sold 1000 of something when you were receiving .20 you'd have 200, and if you sold 1000 at .40 you'd have 400.
    Hmm. That looks like you end up doubling your income without ANY change in demand... Oh, but you're not gouging anyone, because your 10% margin is the same? Is that the thrust of this argument?
    I'm not saying that we should adopt the proposed changes, or that we should burn down the oil companies or anything. I just can't figure out why this pro-oil argument always hides behind the margin/percent/profit confusion if it's all so inoffensive. Seriously. Can you explain that?
  • For starters, it's not a pro-oil argument, it's a pro business argument. As I stated, businesses should charge whatever the market will bear for their product. Additionally, I did not make the claim that profit did not go up at all due to the increased price, however I did note that the profit margin has decreased as the price has increased. This indicates an increase in demand in order to produce record profits while margins are going down. My argument is that the profit oil companies are making is a very small percentage of the overall price of gasoline and that going after them will make little difference in the cost. Cutting taxes and increasing the non-OPEC supply of oil would put a much bigger dent in the cost at the pump.
  • Jesse
    "The lack of knowledge about gas prices demonstrates one of the most glaring examples of societal economic ignorance in our country."

    Very true. I just wish you actually had something useful to add.

    You hypothesis is that if we drill in the US (which those damned hippies and democrats won't let us do) then we can put "a dent" in the cost of gas. Right?

    Here are some possibly important questions we should ask ourselves: How much less will buying our oil cost compared to the Middle Easts oil? It's not going to be free is it? I mean we will still have to pay for the cost of drilling it and refining it, right? That's too difficult, let's assume it's free.

    Woo hoo! Free gas! And we get it right now, right? Well, maybe we should question how long it will take and what kind of capacity we could get it to run at. You can't just magically pull all of the oil out of the ground immediately can you? Well, these questions are kind of hard. I say the answer should be: We can get all of it right now!

    This is just too awesome. Free oil, and all of it right now!! We get to have free oil forever, right? Well, I'm sorry. I spent some time doing this math so I'm not going to let you slide on this one...

    The oil reserves in the US are about 25 billion barrels. Sounds like a lot, right? So it should take a very long time to use it up... Just for fun, how much oil do we use in a year? Any guesses? Try 7.5 billion barrels a year, and climbing. (all from Energy Information Administration of the U.S. Government)

    Should I do this math for you? Even if the gas were free (which it won't be) and even if we could get it all now (which we can't. And even if we had started long ago, the ammount we could produce each year would be small in comparison.) We could have free gas for about 3 years and then be right back to where we are now.

    And of course, the part of your argument which makes you sound like a nutjob: "in spite of the fact that more is being produced everyday through earth’s natural activities that produced the same oil we are harvesting, now." Right, that oil will just grow back. Because you believe in the Abiogenic theory, something that, "is accepted by only a small minority of geologists and petroleum engineers." "no substantial proof exists that this is happening on any significant scale in the earth's crust for any hydrocarbon other than methane (natural gas)." (wikipedia)

    It's awesome to see how your enlightening of the masses hinges on crackpot psuedoscience.

    Then you say, "but I certainly do not blame “big-oil” for doing what for-profit corporations do best; make a profit!" I do. They and the automotive industry tried and succeded in keeping their profits by killing and ostricizing the development and sale of electric cars. (Yes the automotive industry would have actually suffered from selling electric cars: Even if selling the same number of cars, you make a much greater profit by selling regular over electric). That's what your all-for-profit corporations have done for us.

    Now, I don't know how to do all of the math involved, but it appears obvious to me that the "dent" that drilling in the US would make could not be very big at all. I know how the math needs to go: Price for American oil vs. Middle Eastern oil. The amount that we could supply (and use a figure ten years in the future so that you won't need to whine about Billy). Then take the amount supplied off, multiply by it difference US/ME, and then add that back onto the other remainder. Do this math for me and show me what this "dent" will actually be. Then everything you say may have credence... Perhaps you have done this and I am wrong. I just get really upset when I see these little things trying to "tell me how it is" without any supporting evidence.

    Now your argument against government intervention and socialism is more tolerable. While I'm more on the fence, I'll leave it alone.

    Just, next time, please try harder.
  • Jesse
    So I'm right aren't I? I've been waiting for two weeks for a reply.
  • You are far from right. You start your comment off by insulting me, you completely ignore the effects of the speculative market, you have no idea what you are talking about with regard to the impact drilling in our own country would have (see link in today's post to Noel Sheppard's article), you think the solution is electric cars (as if my electric bill isn't high enough, you want the entire US to plug their cars into the grid -- you think the California brown-outs were bad, try going without refrigerated food for a couple weeks), and finally you end with another insult. You were so wrong on so many points, I didn't want you to drag me down to your level of ignorance, so no , I did not respond.
  • Jesse
    I want to get this right. I felt that you left out significant amounts of supporting evidence to make your suggestions worthwhile. I would love for you to prove me wrong. I would very much like this to be demonstrated to me. I am not stupid, but there may be very important factors of which I am ignorant, but it's slightly out of line to strictly point out my ignorance of information that you did not present to validate your case.

    While I am willing to try to have a debate about the subject (I promise to cut down on the sarcasm), it does not appear that you are. If you are willing, however, just let me know. Otherwise I don't want to take up more of each other's time.
  • Rey
    OPEC would not be as much of a problem, if they didn't have the President of the US in their pocket.
blog comments powered by Disqus